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CAPITAL CHRONICLES

$ Capital Chronicles our weekly online market report, featuring an overview of the week that was and an outlook on coming events that may impact your finances. (Posted every Sunday by 8:30 a.m. EST)

Back Issue

WEEK ENDING

Saturday, June 30, 2007

WILSHIRE 5000

15,210.65

+7.33

+0.05%

S&P 500 Lg. Cap
1,503.35 +0.79 +0.05%

S&P 400 Mid Cap 895.51 -0.91 -0.10%

S&P 600 Sm. Cap 432.31 -0.44 -0.10%

DOW JONES 30
13,408.62 +48.36 +0.36%

NASDAQ 2,603.23 +14.27 +0.55%

DJ World Stox (X US) 269.76 +0.94 +0.35%

3 mo. T-Yield
4.65% +0.09 +1.97%

2 yr. T-Yield 4.85% -0.04 -0.82%

10 yr. T-Yield
5.03% -0.11 -2.14%

*1 yr. CD Rate 4.89% unch unch

*5 yr. CD Rate 4.94% +0.02 +0.41%

*15 yr. fixed mtg. 5.99% -0.04 -0.66%

*30 yr. fixed mtg. 6.29% -0.04 -0.63%

Euro (in U.S. dollars) $1.354 +$0.006 +0.45%

Yen (in U.S. dollars) $0.00812 +$0.00005 +0.62%

Franc (in U.S. dollars) $0.819 +$0.005 +0.61%

Commodities (CRB) 315.74 +0.99 +0.31%

GOLD (spot)
$647.50 -$6.10 -0.93%

SILVER (spot) $12.30 -$0.73 -5.60%

Lt. CRUDE OIL (8/07)
$70.68 +$1.54 +2.23%

NATURAL GAS (8/07) $6.77 -$0.49 -6.75%

*GASOLINE (Reg. Unl.) $2.966 -$0.015 -0.50%

* National averages, mortgage rates include points.

ECO-INDICATORS (current status)

VS.

Bulls 15

Bears 13

*Advance / Decline Ratio

*Commodities index (CRB)

*Dollar Index

*Employment Cost Index

*Export Prices

*Factory Orders

*Import prices

*ISM Manufacturing

*ISM Non-Manufacturing

*Loan Officer Survey

*Market Volatility (VIX)

*Money Supply

*Retail Sales

*Trade Balance

*Yield Curve

*Capacity Utilization

*Consumer Confidence Index

*Consumer Credit

*Consumer Price Index (CPI)

*Durable Goods

*Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

*Industrial Production

*Initial Jobless Claims

*Non-Farm Productivity

*Personal Income

*Producer Price Index (PPI)

*UCAP Housing Index

*Unemployment Rate

Definitions

CBOT FED FUNDS FUTURES

Currently at 5.25%

Month End Rate Probability

Aug '07 5.00% 2%

5.25% 98%

Sep '07 5.00% 4%

5.25% 96%

Oct '07 5.00% 8%

5.25% 92%

Nov '07 5.00% 16%

5.25% 84%

Dec '07 5.00% 24%

5.25% 76%

Jan '08 5.00% 30%

5.25% 70%

FOMC scheduled meetings 8/7/07, 9/18/07, 10/30/07-10/31/07, 12/11/07, 1/29/08-1/30/08, 3/18/08, 4/29/08-4/30/08, 6/24/08-6/25/08, 8/5/08, 9/16/08, 10/28/08-10/29/08, 12/16/08, 1/27/09-1/28/09

You Capitalize estimates a current neutral fed funds rate at 5.50%

U.S. STOCK MARKET OUTLOOK

You Capitalize Contrarian Wave™ seasonal trading patterns

45%

35%

21% 22%

8% 10%

Aug 07 Sep 07 Oct 07 Nov 07 Dec 07 Jan 08

Positive Return Probabilities

For the Week of July 1, 2007

Monday: June ISM Manufacturing - forecast 55.3   prior 55.0

Tuesday: May Factory Orders - forecast -1.0%   prior 0.3%

Wednesday: All U.S. Markets closed

Thursday: Weekly Jobless Claims - forecast 315K   prior 313K

                  June ISM Non-Manufacturing - forecast 58.3   prior 59.7

Friday: June Unemployment Rate - forecast 4.5%   prior 4.5%

You Capitalize Contrarian Wave™: Stock market seasonal and linear trading patterns are indicating a 62% positive return probability for the week.

Capitalizing on the markets

Market commentaries are omitted in back issues.

Many happy returns

Steven J. Johnson

President and CEO

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Free 30-Day Trial

Stock Market Stats

Total Return 12 mo.* 20.4%

* As measured by the Wilshire 5000

S&P 500 Large Cap

Price/Earnings 18.0

Dividend Yield 1.8%

Earnings Growth y vs. y* 14.9%

S&P 400 Mid Cap

Price/Earnings 22.7

Dividend Yield 1.1%

Earnings Growth y vs. y* 17.1%

S&P 600 Small Cap

Price/Earnings 23.7

Dividend Yield 0.9%

Earnings Growth y vs. y* 10.9%

* Thru May 2007

Total Market Breakdown

Financials	21%
Technology	19%
Health Care	12%
Industrials	12%
Consumer Discretionary	11%
Energy	10%
Consumer Staples	8%
Utilities	4%
Materials	3%

Bond Market

Taxable Return 12 mo. 6.1%

Tax-free Return 12 mo. 4.7%

Money Market Funds

Taxable Avg. Yield 4.7%

Tax-free Avg. Yield 3.2%

Misc.

UCAP Housing Index 2,450.31

Prime Lending Rate 8.25%

U.S. Economic Stats

Inflation yr vs. yr 2.7%

Unemployment 4.5%

GDP growth Annual yr vs. yr¹ 2.9%

GDP Annual¹ $13.4 T.

Trade balance Annual² -$742 B.

¹ Thru 1st qtr 2007

² Thru Apr. 2007

Public Sector Stats

Federal budget deficit Annual¹

$170 billion

Debt
Federal	$8.8 trillion
All State & Local²	$2.0 trillion
$35,878 per citizen

Employees³
Federal	2.7 million
All State & Local	19.5 million
1 in 6.2 Employed Americans

¹ Thru May 2007

² As of Mar. 2007

³ As of May 2007

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